Serie A · 2025/26
2026-05-01 · 19:45
13.4227.4%
X2.9931.3%
22.2741.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Pisa
LLLDLLLWLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Lecce
DLLLWLLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.50
1.70
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.60
Against
7.40
7.40
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.50
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
1.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Pisa attack

0.70goals per match
Lecce conceded1.20
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.50goals per match
Pisa conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.20
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
7.40
7.40
Match total
11.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.80
Match total
2.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
25.00
Match total
25.80

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.40
On target
1.80
7%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches214
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.4%29.0%+1.6 pp
Draw31.3%32.7%+1.4 pp
Away41.3%38.3%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.091.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
0-113.1%
0-011.2%
1-09.3%
1-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.104.71
Average total8.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=214.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.3%
Over 9.537.9%
Over 10.525.2%
Over 11.515.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.4%16.5%–36.9% CI
Draw FT46.3%34.9%–58.1% CI
Away FT28.4%19.0%–40.1% CI

Remaining goals

0.97

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.2%
2+ goals26.9%
3+ goals6.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.3%
Away40.3%