Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-27 · 17:30
14.5120.7%
X3.6425.6%
21.7453.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
WDLWWLDLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Atalanta
LWWDDWLDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.50
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.80
Against
5.30
9.80
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
0.80
1.80
Total goals
2.10
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.00goals per match
Atalanta conceded0.80
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.30goals per match
Cagliari conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.80
Corners against
5.30
9.80
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.90
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
28.40
Match total
22.90

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.20
On target
4.30
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches246
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.7%19.1%-1.6 pp
Draw25.6%22.0%-3.7 pp
Away53.7%58.9%+5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

0.871.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.3%
0-213.4%
1-111.0%
1-28.9%
0-06.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.095.66
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=246.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.4%16.2%–34.9% CI
Draw FT29.5%20.5%–40.4% CI
Away FT46.2%35.5%–57.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.8%
2+ goals48.7%
3+ goals19.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.3%
Away65.4%