Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-26 · 11:30
11.9049.2%
X3.3428.0%
24.0822.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
LWWDLDWDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Sassuolo
LDDLLWWLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.80
Against
4.70
9.90
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.40goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.50
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.10goals per match
Fiorentina conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.70
9.90
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.90
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
26.10
Match total
23.20

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.80
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches516
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.2%47.3%-1.9 pp
Draw28.0%26.7%-1.2 pp
Away22.9%26.0%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS52.5%

Historical average

1.541.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.6%
1-112.2%
0-18.9%
1-27.9%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.754.26
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=516.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.9%31.9%–46.5% CI
Draw FT34.7%27.9%–42.2% CI
Away FT26.3%20.3%–33.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.5%
Away45.5%