Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 17:00
12.9831.4%
X3.2129.2%
22.3839.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
LDLLLLWLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Roma
LLLWWLDLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.60
Against
4.00
8.20
Total
7.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.00
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

0.60goals per match
Roma conceded1.60
Matchup

Roma attack

1.10goals per match
Bologna conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.00
8.20
Match total
7.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.80
Match total
3.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
26.70
Match total
29.00

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.50
On target
2.90
4%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches755
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.4%31.8%+0.3 pp
Draw29.2%24.2%-5.0 pp
Away39.4%44.0%+4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.131.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.0%
1-010.5%
0-110.2%
1-210.1%
0-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.675.03
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=755.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches242
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.1%27.4%–39.2% CI
Draw FT33.5%27.8%–39.6% CI
Away FT33.5%27.8%–39.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.4%
Away48.8%