Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-24 · 19:45
11.3270.8%
X4.8519.3%
29.459.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Napoli
WDDWWDWWWL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Cremonese
LDLLLLLLWL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.40
1.00
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
2.30
Against
5.80
9.00
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Napoli attack
1.40goals per matchCremonese conceded1.60Matchup
Cremonese attack
0.40goals per matchNapoli conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.80
9.00
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.70
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
22.00
Match total
29.90
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.50
On target
2.60
11%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.8%67.5%-3.3 pp
Draw19.3%22.5%+3.2 pp
Away9.9%10.0%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.85–0.78
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-120.0%
3-015.0%
1-012.5%
0-010.0%
2-27.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.65–2.90
Average total9.55
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.5%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.535.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals27.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.6%
Away36.4%