Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-24 · 19:45
11.3270.8%
X4.8519.3%
29.459.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WDDWWDWWWL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Cremonese
LDLLLLLLWL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.40
1.00
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
2.30
Against
5.80
9.00
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.40goals per match
Cremonese conceded1.60
Matchup

Cremonese attack

0.40goals per match
Napoli conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.80
9.00
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.70
Match total
3.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
22.00
Match total
29.90

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.50
On target
2.60
11%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.8%67.5%-3.3 pp
Draw19.3%22.5%+3.2 pp
Away9.9%10.0%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.850.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-120.0%
3-015.0%
1-012.5%
0-010.0%
2-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.652.90
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.5%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away36.4%