Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 19:45
11.4564.5%
X4.3821.3%
26.5814.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Juventus
WWDWWDLWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Bologna
WDLDWLWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.70
0.80
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.40
Against
5.40
8.60
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Juventus attack
2.20goals per matchBologna conceded1.20Matchup
Bologna attack
1.70goals per matchJuventus conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.40
8.60
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.30
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
21.30
Match total
28.90
Shots
18.60N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
6.80
On target
4.00
12%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches208
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.5%71.6%+7.2 pp
Draw21.3%18.8%-2.6 pp
Away14.2%9.6%-4.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.529.8%
BTTS43.3%
Historical average
2.04–0.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.3%
2-113.5%
2-013.0%
1-17.2%
3-16.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.25–3.40
Average total9.66
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=208.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.528.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.4%45.5%–68.4% CI
Draw FT26.5%17.4%–38.0% CI
Away FT16.2%9.3%–26.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.8%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals13.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home67.6%
Away32.4%