Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 17:00
13.2429.0%
X3.1230.1%
22.2941.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pisa
LLLLDLLLWL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Genoa
DWLDDLDLWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.10
1.70
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.70
Against
6.70
7.40
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pisa attack
0.60goals per matchGenoa conceded1.50Matchup
Genoa attack
1.10goals per matchPisa conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.70
7.40
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.70
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
24.10
Match total
25.90
Shots
10.10N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.20
On target
3.90
6%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches386
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.0%26.4%-2.5 pp
Draw30.1%33.4%+3.3 pp
Away41.0%40.2%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS44.3%
Historical average
0.98–1.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
0-013.2%
0-113.2%
1-010.1%
0-29.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.50–4.80
Average total9.30
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=386.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.545.9%
Over 10.532.1%
Over 11.523.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches142
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.4%14.6%–27.8% CI
Draw FT48.6%40.5%–56.7% CI
Away FT31.0%24.0%–39.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.05
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.1%
2+ goals31.0%
3+ goals9.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.6%
Away45.1%