Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 14:00
16.1215.3%
X3.8324.5%
21.5660.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Verona
LWLLLLDLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Milan
WWDWDWWWLL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.60
1.80
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.20
Against
4.80
8.70
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
1.80
Goals conceded
0.80
2.60
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Verona attack
0.80goals per matchMilan conceded0.80Matchup
Milan attack
1.60goals per matchVerona conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
1.10
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.80
8.70
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.70
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
24.00
Match total
21.30
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
3.40
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches79
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.3%13.9%-1.4 pp
Draw24.5%22.8%-1.7 pp
Away60.2%63.3%+3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS39.2%
Historical average
0.68–1.72
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-217.7%
0-113.9%
1-210.1%
0-010.1%
1-17.6%
Comparable corner averages
3.44–5.99
Average total9.43
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=79.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.2%
Over 9.541.8%
Over 10.534.2%
Over 11.524.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT4.8%0.8%–22.7% CI
Draw FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Away FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal61.9%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home19.0%
Away57.1%