Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 14:00
16.1215.3%
X3.8324.5%
21.5660.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
LWLLLLDLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Milan
WWDWDWWWLL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.60
1.80
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.20
Against
4.80
8.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
1.80
Goals conceded
0.80
2.60
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Verona attack

0.80goals per match
Milan conceded0.80
Matchup

Milan attack

1.60goals per match
Verona conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.10
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.80
8.70
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.70
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
24.00
Match total
21.30

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
3.40
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches79
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.3%13.9%-1.4 pp
Draw24.5%22.8%-1.7 pp
Away60.2%63.3%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS39.2%

Historical average

0.681.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-217.7%
0-113.9%
1-210.1%
0-010.1%
1-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.445.99
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=79.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.2%
Over 9.541.8%
Over 10.534.2%
Over 11.524.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT4.8%0.8%–22.7% CI
Draw FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Away FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.9%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home19.0%
Away57.1%