Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 19:45
12.4039.1%
X3.2528.9%
22.9432.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
LWWWDWWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Atalanta
LLWWDDWLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.30
0.60
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.70N=10
1.90
Against
5.10
7.60
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.90goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.00
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.30goals per match
Roma conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
1.90
Corners against
5.10
7.60
Match total
9.80
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.70
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
26.20
Match total
23.40

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.70
On target
4.40
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches505
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.1%39.4%+0.3 pp
Draw28.9%29.5%+0.6 pp
Away32.0%31.1%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.341.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
1-011.7%
1-29.5%
0-08.5%
0-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.104.60
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=505.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches157
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.5%25.7%–40.2% CI
Draw FT43.9%36.4%–51.8% CI
Away FT23.6%17.6%–30.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals42.7%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.8%
Away44.6%