Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 17:00
11.5461.1%
X3.8324.6%
26.5814.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WWDDWWDWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Lazio
LWDWDDDLWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
10%
70%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.30
1.40
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.60
Against
4.00
8.60
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
0.70
2.60
Total goals
1.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.70goals per match
Lazio conceded0.70
Matchup

Lazio attack

0.70goals per match
Napoli conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.60
Corners against
4.00
8.60
Match total
7.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.60
Match total
4.10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
22.30
Match total
21.80

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.10
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches133
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.1%75.9%+14.8 pp
Draw24.6%18.0%-6.5 pp
Away14.3%6.0%-8.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

1.870.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.3%
2-117.3%
3-012.8%
2-011.3%
0-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.713.40
Average total9.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=133.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.9%
Over 9.545.1%
Over 10.533.1%
Over 11.521.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%51.6%–79.0% CI
Draw FT26.2%15.3%–41.1% CI
Away FT7.1%2.5%–19.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals31.0%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away26.2%