Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-17 · 19:45
11.2376.5%
X6.0415.6%
211.887.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Inter
LWWDWWWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Cagliari
LLWDLWLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.50
Against
4.00
9.30
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
3.80
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Inter attack

2.70goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.90
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.10goals per match
Inter conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.50
Corners against
4.00
9.30
Match total
7.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.50
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
23.30
Match total
28.90

Shots

18.60N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
7.50
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches186
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.5%81.2%+4.7 pp
Draw15.6%14.0%-1.6 pp
Away7.9%4.8%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.538.2%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

2.520.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.6%
2-113.4%
3-011.8%
4-010.2%
3-110.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.863.02
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=185.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.8%49.9%–78.8% CI
Draw FT26.3%15.0%–42.0% CI
Away FT7.9%2.7%–20.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.1%
2+ goals71.1%
3+ goals31.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home86.8%
Away34.2%