Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-17 · 17:30
15.7016.5%
X4.1722.5%
21.5461.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
WLDLWLWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Como
WLLWWWDWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.90
1.40
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.70
Against
4.30
9.10
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded
0.80
2.60
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.20goals per match
Como conceded0.80
Matchup

Como attack

1.90goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.30
9.10
Match total
7.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.10
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
23.30
Match total
25.10

Shots

9.10N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
3.40
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches214
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.5%13.1%-3.4 pp
Draw22.5%22.0%-0.6 pp
Away61.0%65.0%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

0.882.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.6%
0-111.2%
1-18.9%
0-28.4%
0-37.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.266.08
Average total10.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=213.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.544.6%
Over 11.535.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.5%3.0%–17.9% CI
Draw FT39.6%27.6%–53.1% CI
Away FT52.8%39.7%–65.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.2%
2+ goals43.4%
3+ goals17.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.6%
Away71.7%