Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 17:00
11.7852.7%
X3.3727.8%
24.8019.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bologna
LLDLLLLWLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Lecce
LLDLLLWLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
0.50
1.70
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.80
Against
7.70
8.90
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.50
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bologna attack
0.50goals per matchLecce conceded1.40Matchup
Lecce attack
0.50goals per matchBologna conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
7.70
8.90
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.80
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
25.80
Match total
23.80
Shots
15.90N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
3.80
On target
1.70
3%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches331
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.7%53.2%+0.5 pp
Draw27.8%23.6%-4.2 pp
Away19.5%23.3%+3.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.519.0%
BTTS48.9%
Historical average
1.48–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.1%
1-113.0%
2-112.1%
2-010.6%
0-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.69–3.94
Average total9.63
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=331.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.525.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches102
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.1%35.8%–54.8% CI
Draw FT31.4%23.2%–40.9% CI
Away FT23.5%16.4%–32.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.4%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals13.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.8%
Away44.1%