Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 17:00
11.7852.7%
X3.3727.8%
24.8019.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
LLDLLLLWLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Lecce
LLDLLLWLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
0.50
1.70
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.80
Against
7.70
8.90
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.50
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

0.50goals per match
Lecce conceded1.40
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.50goals per match
Bologna conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
7.70
8.90
Match total
11.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.80
Match total
2.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
25.80
Match total
23.80

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
3.80
On target
1.70
3%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches331
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.7%53.2%+0.5 pp
Draw27.8%23.6%-4.2 pp
Away19.5%23.3%+3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.519.0%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

1.480.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.1%
1-113.0%
2-112.1%
2-010.6%
0-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.693.94
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=331.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.525.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches102
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.1%35.8%–54.8% CI
Draw FT31.4%23.2%–40.9% CI
Away FT23.5%16.4%–32.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.4%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals13.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.8%
Away44.1%