Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 14:00
15.8716.0%
X3.7525.0%
21.5959.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
DLLWLDLWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Napoli
WLWWDLWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.60
Against
2.80
8.80
Total
6.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Parma attack

0.70goals per match
Napoli conceded1.10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.40goals per match
Parma conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.60
Corners against
2.80
8.80
Match total
6.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
25.20
Match total
24.80

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.20
On target
3.90
5%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.0%15.6%-0.4 pp
Draw25.0%28.9%+3.9 pp
Away59.0%55.6%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS51.1%

Historical average

0.801.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.8%
0-013.3%
1-211.1%
1-18.9%
0-28.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.114.93
Average total9.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.542.2%
Over 10.528.9%
Over 11.522.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal57.1%
2+ goals21.4%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home21.4%
Away57.1%