Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 11:30
12.1543.6%
X3.2428.9%
23.4127.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Genoa
WLLDWWLWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Sassuolo
WLDDLLWWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.40
Against
4.60
7.70
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Genoa attack
1.70goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.30Matchup
Sassuolo attack
1.30goals per matchGenoa conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.60
7.70
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.40
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
27.90
Match total
22.60
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.20
On target
3.70
15%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,447
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.6%44.1%+0.5 pp
Draw28.9%31.1%+2.2 pp
Away27.5%24.8%-2.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS52.7%
Historical average
1.41–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.1%
1-011.6%
2-110.7%
0-09.0%
2-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.21–4.30
Average total9.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,446.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.526.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches477
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT38.2%33.9%–42.6% CI
Draw FT40.3%35.9%–44.7% CI
Away FT21.6%18.1%–25.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.1%
Away41.3%