Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 19:45
13.0430.9%
X3.3428.1%
22.2941.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
WWLWWWWWDW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Juventus
DLWWWLWLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.80
0.60
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.40
Against
4.20
10.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.80goals per match
Juventus conceded1.10
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.80goals per match
Atalanta conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.20
10.70
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.80
Match total
3.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
24.30
Match total
22.60

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
14.90N=10
5.60
On target
6.00
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches602
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.9%29.2%-1.7 pp
Draw28.1%29.1%+1.0 pp
Away41.0%41.7%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.531.1%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

1.251.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
0-18.8%
0-07.8%
0-27.6%
1-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.695.21
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=602.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches174
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT23.6%17.9%–30.4% CI
Draw FT37.9%31.1%–45.3% CI
Away FT38.5%31.6%–45.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals43.7%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.5%
Away55.7%