Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 17:00
11.4166.7%
X4.4321.2%
27.7712.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WWDWDWDLWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Udinese
LWLLWWLLDW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
0.70
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.90
Against
4.70
9.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
0.70
Goals conceded
1.50
2.10
Total goals
2.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.40goals per match
Udinese conceded1.50
Matchup

Udinese attack

1.30goals per match
Milan conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.70
9.70
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.00
Match total
3.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
21.60
Match total
22.80

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.40
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches257
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.7%73.9%+7.3 pp
Draw21.2%16.3%-4.9 pp
Away12.1%9.7%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS38.9%

Historical average

2.110.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.7%
2-016.0%
2-19.7%
3-08.2%
1-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.393.33
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=257.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.525.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches70
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.7%54.0%–75.8% CI
Draw FT20.0%12.3%–30.8% CI
Away FT14.3%7.9%–24.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.1%
2+ goals44.3%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home74.3%
Away28.6%