Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 14:00
12.1443.8%
X3.1130.2%
23.6126.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
DWDLWWLDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Cremonese
WLDLLLLLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.50
Against
6.50
9.50
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
2.30
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.20goals per match
Cremonese conceded1.60
Matchup

Cremonese attack

0.70goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.50
Corners against
6.50
9.50
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
29.60
Match total
29.80

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
3.20
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,000
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%43.0%-0.8 pp
Draw30.2%33.3%+3.1 pp
Away26.0%23.7%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.330.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.6%
1-012.5%
0-010.4%
2-09.3%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.204.14
Average total9.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=999.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.544.8%
Over 10.533.4%
Over 11.524.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches378
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT36.0%31.3%–40.9% CI
Draw FT44.4%39.5%–49.5% CI
Away FT19.6%15.9%–23.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.1%
Away42.9%