Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-10 · 19:45
11.3270.9%
X4.8919.1%
29.3510.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WLWWWDWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Pisa
DLDDDLDLLL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
2.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.00
Against
5.40
7.90
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
2.40
2.40
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.80goals per match
Pisa conceded2.40
Matchup

Pisa attack

0.90goals per match
Roma conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.00
Corners against
5.40
7.90
Match total
9.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.80
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
26.60
Match total
23.30

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.80
On target
2.40
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.9%74.7%+3.8 pp
Draw19.1%19.3%+0.1 pp
Away10.0%6.0%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS42.2%

Historical average

1.990.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-018.1%
1-014.5%
2-114.5%
3-010.8%
0-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.733.00
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.544.6%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%42.5%–77.6% CI
Draw FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI
Away FT7.7%2.1%–24.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals26.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away34.6%