Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-06 · 14:00
14.7319.8%
X3.6425.7%
21.7254.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
DWWLLLDWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Atalanta
LLLWWDDWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.50
Against
5.40
8.60
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
2.00
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.80goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.00goals per match
Lecce conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.40
8.60
Match total
10.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.10
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
30.10
Match total
23.10

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
2.80
On target
3.80
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches230
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.8%17.4%-2.4 pp
Draw25.7%23.5%-2.3 pp
Away54.5%59.1%+4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

0.811.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.1%
0-213.9%
1-112.6%
0-38.3%
0-06.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.935.57
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=230.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.7%12.1%–30.4% CI
Draw FT28.2%19.0%–39.5% CI
Away FT52.1%40.7%–63.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals40.8%
3+ goals16.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.8%
Away66.2%