Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-05 · 19:45
11.6357.6%
X3.8424.4%
25.2218.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Inter
WLWWDWWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Roma
WLLLWWLDLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.20
Against
3.60
8.60
Total
6.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Inter attack
2.40goals per matchRoma conceded1.20Matchup
Roma attack
1.20goals per matchInter conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.20
Corners against
3.60
8.60
Match total
6.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.90N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
24.90
Match total
29.70
Shots
17.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
6.90
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches562
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.6%61.0%+3.5 pp
Draw24.4%22.4%-2.0 pp
Away18.0%16.5%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS48.2%
Historical average
1.70–0.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.9%
2-111.9%
1-110.0%
2-010.0%
0-06.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.07–3.74
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=562.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.530.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches173
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT50.9%43.5%–58.2% CI
Draw FT32.9%26.4%–40.3% CI
Away FT16.2%11.4%–22.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.8%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals13.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.2%
Away37.0%