Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-05 · 19:45
11.6357.6%
X3.8424.4%
25.2218.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Inter
WLWWDWWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Roma
WLLLWWLDLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.20
Against
3.60
8.60
Total
6.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Inter attack

2.40goals per match
Roma conceded1.20
Matchup

Roma attack

1.20goals per match
Inter conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.20
Corners against
3.60
8.60
Match total
6.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
24.90
Match total
29.70

Shots

17.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
6.90
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches562
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.6%61.0%+3.5 pp
Draw24.4%22.4%-2.0 pp
Away18.0%16.5%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS48.2%

Historical average

1.700.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.9%
2-111.9%
1-110.0%
2-010.0%
0-06.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.073.74
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=562.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches173
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT50.9%43.5%–58.2% CI
Draw FT32.9%26.4%–40.3% CI
Away FT16.2%11.4%–22.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.8%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.2%
Away37.0%