Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 17:00
14.1322.7%
X3.4027.6%
21.8949.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Verona
LLWLLLLDLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Fiorentina
DLLLDWLWLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.40
1.90
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.90
Against
5.10
8.90
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.90
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Verona attack
0.90goals per matchFiorentina conceded1.80Matchup
Fiorentina attack
1.40goals per matchVerona conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.10
8.90
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.60
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
23.70
Match total
28.90
Shots
8.90N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
2.80
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches247
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.7%25.9%+3.2 pp
Draw27.6%24.7%-2.9 pp
Away49.7%49.4%-0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.6%
BTTS37.7%
Historical average
0.84–1.39
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.6%
1-012.6%
1-110.9%
0-010.9%
0-29.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.99–5.91
Average total9.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=247.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.532.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches95
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%13.2%–29.1% CI
Draw FT41.1%31.7%–51.1% CI
Away FT38.9%29.8%–49.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.12
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals28.4%
3+ goals9.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.8%
Away52.6%