Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 14:00
11.9747.7%
X3.1230.1%
24.2422.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
DWLDLWLWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Cagliari
DLLWDLWLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.70
Against
4.80
9.40
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.20goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.70
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.00goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.80
9.40
Match total
7.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.30
Match total
4.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
22.80
Match total
30.00

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches307
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.7%46.6%-1.1 pp
Draw30.1%31.6%+1.5 pp
Away22.2%21.8%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

1.450.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-015.6%
0-09.4%
2-19.4%
0-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.584.05
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=307.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches101
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.6%31.5%–50.3% CI
Draw FT41.6%32.5%–51.3% CI
Away FT17.8%11.6%–26.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals33.7%
3+ goals11.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.4%
Away34.7%