Serie A · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 14:00
11.9747.7%
X3.1230.1%
24.2422.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sassuolo
DWLDLWLWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Cagliari
DLLWDLWLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.70
Against
4.80
9.40
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sassuolo attack
1.20goals per matchCagliari conceded1.70Matchup
Cagliari attack
1.00goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.80
9.40
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.30
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
22.80
Match total
30.00
Shots
10.40N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches307
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.7%46.6%-1.1 pp
Draw30.1%31.6%+1.5 pp
Away22.2%21.8%-0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS52.8%
Historical average
1.45–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.6%
1-015.6%
0-09.4%
2-19.4%
0-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.58–4.05
Average total9.63
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=307.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.528.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches101
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.6%31.5%–50.3% CI
Draw FT41.6%32.5%–51.3% CI
Away FT17.8%11.6%–26.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.23
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals33.7%
3+ goals11.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.4%
Away34.7%