Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 19:45
15.0318.6%
X4.0323.2%
21.6158.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Fiorentina
LDLWWDLDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Inter
WWWWWWWWWL
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
0.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
6.30N=10
3.40
Against
2.50
9.80
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
0.30
2.30
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Fiorentina attack
1.30goals per matchInter conceded0.30Matchup
Inter attack
1.90goals per matchFiorentina conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
2.50
9.80
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.80
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.20N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
27.70
Match total
23.60
Shots
17.10N=10
Shots
18.10N=10
4.60
On target
6.00
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches180
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.6%16.7%-1.9 pp
Draw23.2%19.4%-3.8 pp
Away58.2%63.9%+5.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS55.0%
Historical average
0.91–1.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-212.8%
0-212.8%
0-111.1%
1-110.0%
1-37.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.05–5.87
Average total9.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=180.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.529.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.9%5.2%–25.0% CI
Draw FT31.0%19.1%–46.0% CI
Away FT57.1%42.2%–70.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals21.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away69.0%