Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 17:00
11.4763.6%
X3.9623.6%
27.3312.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WWLWWWDWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Lecce
WLLDLLLWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
2.00
Against
7.10
7.80
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.90goals per match
Lecce conceded1.30
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.60goals per match
Roma conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
2.00
Corners against
7.10
7.80
Match total
10.60
30%3/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.70
Match total
2.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
25.20
Match total
24.20

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
5.20
On target
1.80
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.6%67.6%+3.9 pp
Draw23.6%23.0%-0.6 pp
Away12.8%9.5%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS45.9%

Historical average

1.700.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-023.0%
2-014.9%
2-110.8%
1-18.1%
2-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.322.74
Average total9.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=74.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.541.9%
Over 10.528.4%
Over 11.514.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.5%42.7%–78.8% CI
Draw FT25.0%12.0%–44.9% CI
Away FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.2%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away20.8%