Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 14:00
12.3040.7%
X3.0430.8%
23.2828.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
WLLDLLLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Lazio
DLLWDWDDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.50
1.50
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
10%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.30
1.40
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.10
Against
3.90
9.50
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
1.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

0.70goals per match
Lazio conceded0.80
Matchup

Lazio attack

0.50goals per match
Bologna conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.90
9.50
Match total
7.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.00
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
26.60
Match total
24.20

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.80
On target
3.30
5%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,174
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.7%41.6%+0.9 pp
Draw30.8%30.6%-0.2 pp
Away28.5%27.9%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.3%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.271.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-013.0%
0-09.3%
2-09.3%
0-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.994.28
Average total9.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,174.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.533.6%
Over 11.524.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches420
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.0%29.7%–38.7% CI
Draw FT41.7%37.0%–46.4% CI
Away FT24.3%20.4%–28.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away46.0%