Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 14:00
11.3768.1%
X4.5620.5%
28.1911.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
LWWLWWWWWD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Verona
DLWLDDLLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.10
Against
6.30
10.60
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.70goals per match
Verona conceded1.80
Matchup

Verona attack

0.80goals per match
Atalanta conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.30
10.60
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.60
Match total
3.50
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
16.40N=10
23.20
Match total
25.10

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.50
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches137
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.1%72.3%+4.1 pp
Draw20.5%17.5%-3.0 pp
Away11.4%10.2%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS35.0%

Historical average

1.960.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-019.0%
1-014.6%
3-012.4%
1-19.5%
2-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.653.24
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=137.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.3%49.3%–75.3% CI
Draw FT26.5%16.2%–40.3% CI
Away FT10.2%4.4%–21.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.8%
2+ goals51.0%
3+ goals18.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.6%
Away34.7%