Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 17:00
11.3668.8%
X4.7119.9%
28.2311.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
DWWDWDWDLW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Torino
DDLWWLLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.50
Against
4.90
9.50
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.70
2.00
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.30goals per match
Torino conceded1.70
Matchup

Torino attack

0.80goals per match
Milan conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.90
9.50
Match total
8.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.00
Match total
3.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
22.60
Match total
26.10

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.50
On target
3.60
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches223
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.8%72.6%+3.9 pp
Draw19.9%17.5%-2.4 pp
Away11.4%9.9%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS43.9%

Historical average

2.120.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.8%
1-014.3%
3-012.1%
2-111.2%
1-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.853.18
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=223.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.7%50.0%–73.9% CI
Draw FT27.1%17.4%–39.6% CI
Away FT10.2%4.7%–20.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.1%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals22.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.4%
Away35.6%