Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-20 · 19:45
12.1443.9%
X3.1030.3%
23.6525.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
DWLLDWWLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Udinese
LLWLLWWLLD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

2.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.00
Against
4.80
7.90
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
3.20
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.90goals per match
Udinese conceded1.80
Matchup

Udinese attack

1.20goals per match
Genoa conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.80
7.90
Match total
9.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.30
Match total
3.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
29.60
Match total
23.50

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.60
On target
3.30
18%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches604
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.9%46.0%+2.1 pp
Draw30.3%32.0%+1.6 pp
Away25.8%22.0%-3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS46.4%

Historical average

1.310.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-015.2%
0-011.1%
2-010.1%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.263.88
Average total9.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=604.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.541.9%
Over 10.531.6%
Over 11.523.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches243
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.0%31.2%–43.3% CI
Draw FT43.6%37.5%–49.9% CI
Away FT19.3%14.9%–24.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.1%
Away39.5%