Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-20 · 17:30
15.2317.9%
X3.3727.8%
21.7354.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
LDWDLWWLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Napoli
LWLWWDLWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.50
Against
3.10
9.90
Total
6.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.30goals per match
Napoli conceded1.30
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.30goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.50
Corners against
3.10
9.90
Match total
6.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
30.90
Match total
24.90

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
3.30
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.9%33.3%+15.4 pp
Draw27.8%28.6%+0.7 pp
Away54.2%38.1%-16.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS38.1%

Historical average

1.001.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-019.0%
0-114.3%
0-39.5%
2-29.5%
0-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.245.62
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.2%
Away64.7%