Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-16 · 19:45
13.7824.7%
X3.5226.6%
21.9248.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cremonese
DLLWLDDLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Fiorentina
LDLLLDWLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.70
Against
5.50
9.80
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
2.10
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cremonese attack

0.70goals per match
Fiorentina conceded2.00
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.00goals per match
Cremonese conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
6.70
Corners against
5.50
9.80
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.00
Match total
4.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
24.70
Match total
28.30

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.70
On target
3.00
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches495
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.7%20.8%-3.9 pp
Draw26.6%27.9%+1.3 pp
Away48.7%51.3%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

1.001.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.9%
0-111.7%
1-210.5%
0-28.9%
0-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.555.34
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=495.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches144
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.1%12.6%–25.1% CI
Draw FT42.4%34.6%–50.5% CI
Away FT39.6%32.0%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals40.3%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home34.0%
Away57.6%