Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 19:45
13.9823.5%
X3.3228.1%
21.9348.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WWDDLDLWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Milan
DWWWDWDWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.30
Against
5.60
8.20
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
2.50
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.20goals per match
Milan conceded0.80
Matchup

Milan attack

1.90goals per match
Lazio conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.60
8.20
Match total
9.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
5.30
Match total
3.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
24.90
Match total
21.40

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.00
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches303
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.5%25.1%+1.6 pp
Draw28.1%25.1%-3.1 pp
Away48.4%49.8%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS41.6%

Historical average

0.931.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.9%
0-010.9%
1-010.6%
1-19.9%
0-29.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.235.54
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=303.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches110
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.3%11.3%–25.4% CI
Draw FT42.7%33.9%–52.1% CI
Away FT40.0%31.3%–49.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals29.1%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.5%
Away53.6%