Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 14:00
12.4738.0%
X3.2329.0%
22.8433.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sassuolo
LDWLDLWLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Bologna
DWWDLDWLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.90
1.60
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.00
Against
5.10
9.30
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sassuolo attack
1.30goals per matchBologna conceded1.40Matchup
Bologna attack
1.90goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.10
9.30
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.40
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.20N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
22.70
Match total
29.60
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.00
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches809
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.0%36.6%-1.4 pp
Draw29.0%28.9%-0.1 pp
Away33.0%34.5%+1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS52.9%
Historical average
1.28–1.23
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.6%
1-010.3%
0-19.3%
1-28.5%
0-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.07–4.58
Average total9.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=809.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.526.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches269
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.6%23.6%–34.3% CI
Draw FT41.3%35.5%–47.2% CI
Away FT30.1%24.9%–35.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.1%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals15.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.6%
Away52.0%