Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 17:00
11.3469.8%
X4.5320.7%
29.869.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WDWWDDWWDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Lecce
LWLLDLLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
2.20
Against
6.80
7.60
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.70goals per match
Lecce conceded1.40
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.70goals per match
Napoli conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
2.20
Corners against
6.80
7.60
Match total
10.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.10
Match total
2.70
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
24.80
Match total
24.80

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.50
On target
1.90
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.8%83.3%+13.5 pp
Draw20.7%16.7%-4.0 pp
Away9.5%0.0%-9.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS38.9%

Historical average

2.330.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-022.2%
1-116.7%
2-016.7%
2-111.1%
3-111.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.562.72
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.2%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.522.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.6%
Away23.1%