Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-09 · 19:45
12.1643.3%
X3.1829.4%
23.4227.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WWWDDLDLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Sassuolo
DWWLDDLLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.20
Against
4.80
8.20
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.10goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.30goals per match
Lazio conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.80
8.20
Match total
8.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.50
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
26.30
Match total
26.80

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.80
On target
3.80
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,409
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%43.3%+0.0 pp
Draw29.4%32.2%+2.8 pp
Away27.3%24.5%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.361.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-011.6%
0-010.0%
2-19.5%
2-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.194.24
Average total9.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,408.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.4%
Over 9.547.0%
Over 10.534.7%
Over 11.524.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches486
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT35.0%30.9%–39.3% CI
Draw FT43.8%39.5%–48.3% CI
Away FT21.2%17.8%–25.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.0%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.1%
Away41.8%