Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 19:45
13.4127.4%
X3.1429.8%
22.1942.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WDWWDWDWDL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Inter
LWWWWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.00
0.80
Conceded
0.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
6.10N=10
3.20
Against
2.50
9.20
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.00
0.80
Goals conceded
0.50
2.20
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.40goals per match
Inter conceded0.50
Matchup

Inter attack

2.00goals per match
Milan conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
3.20
Corners against
2.50
9.20
Match total
8.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.20
Match total
3.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
23.20
Match total
24.10

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
18.50N=10
5.70
On target
6.10
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches182
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.4%25.3%-2.2 pp
Draw29.8%23.6%-6.2 pp
Away42.7%51.1%+8.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.091.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.9%
1-212.1%
1-112.1%
1-09.3%
0-26.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.695.06
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=182.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.5%15.8%–38.3% CI
Draw FT29.1%18.8%–42.1% CI
Away FT45.5%33.0%–58.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.6%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.3%
Away67.3%