Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 19:45
13.4127.4%
X3.1429.8%
22.1942.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Milan
WDWWDWDWDL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Inter
LWWWWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
2.00
0.80
Conceded
0.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
6.10N=10
3.20
Against
2.50
9.20
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.00
0.80
Goals conceded
0.50
2.20
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Milan attack
1.40goals per matchInter conceded0.50Matchup
Inter attack
2.00goals per matchMilan conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
3.20
Corners against
2.50
9.20
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.20
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
23.20
Match total
24.10
Shots
17.40N=10
Shots
18.50N=10
5.70
On target
6.10
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches182
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.4%25.3%-2.2 pp
Draw29.8%23.6%-6.2 pp
Away42.7%51.1%+8.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS50.5%
Historical average
1.09–1.51
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-115.9%
1-212.1%
1-112.1%
1-09.3%
0-26.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.69–5.06
Average total9.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=182.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.529.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.5%15.8%–38.3% CI
Draw FT29.1%18.8%–42.1% CI
Away FT45.5%33.0%–58.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.6%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.3%
Away67.3%