Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 17:00
14.2222.2%
X3.3228.2%
21.8949.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
LDWLLDWWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Roma
WLWLLLWWLD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.70
Against
3.90
8.00
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
3.10
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.70goals per match
Roma conceded0.90
Matchup

Roma attack

1.10goals per match
Genoa conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.90
8.00
Match total
7.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.30
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
29.70
Match total
29.40

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.20
On target
4.40
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches114
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.2%24.6%+2.4 pp
Draw28.2%33.3%+5.1 pp
Away49.6%42.1%-7.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.512.3%
BTTS43.9%

Historical average

0.821.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.5%
0-115.8%
0-012.3%
0-28.8%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.055.60
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=114.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.4%11.8%–32.9% CI
Draw FT42.6%30.3%–55.8% CI
Away FT37.0%25.4%–50.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.1%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals9.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.7%
Away53.7%