Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 14:00
11.7055.1%
X3.6425.7%
24.8919.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
DLDLWWDLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Parma
DLWWDWDLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.70
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.90
Against
5.10
10.10
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.70
Total goals
1.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.50goals per match
Parma conceded0.90
Matchup

Parma attack

0.90goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.10
10.10
Match total
8.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.40
Match total
4.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
28.40
Match total
24.10

Shots

17.80N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
5.20
On target
2.80
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches811
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.1%56.7%+1.6 pp
Draw25.7%24.9%-0.8 pp
Away19.2%18.4%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.526.0%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

1.690.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.6%
1-013.2%
1-110.7%
2-010.1%
0-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.093.90
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=811.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches246
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT48.4%42.2%–54.6% CI
Draw FT35.4%29.7%–41.5% CI
Away FT16.3%12.2%–21.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals40.2%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.2%
Away36.2%