Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 11:30
12.1144.3%
X2.9631.6%
23.8924.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
LDWWLLLDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Cremonese
WLWLDLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.60
Against
6.90
8.60
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
1.80
Total goals
2.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.60goals per match
Cremonese conceded1.50
Matchup

Cremonese attack

0.60goals per match
Lecce conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.90
8.60
Match total
10.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.90
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
27.90
Match total
27.40

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
2.70
On target
2.70
5%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches268
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.3%47.8%+3.4 pp
Draw31.6%27.2%-4.4 pp
Away24.1%25.0%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.516.4%
BTTS39.6%

Historical average

1.240.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.0%
0-112.3%
1-111.9%
0-011.2%
2-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.213.69
Average total8.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=268.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.6%
Over 9.541.4%
Over 10.528.7%
Over 11.522.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches111
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.0%27.7%–45.3% CI
Draw FT40.5%31.9%–49.8% CI
Away FT23.4%16.5%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals31.5%
3+ goals9.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.5%
Away40.5%