Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 14:00
15.5816.8%
X3.8424.5%
21.6058.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
LLDWDLWWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Como
DDWLLWWWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.90
Against
4.20
10.30
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
0.70
2.40
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.20goals per match
Como conceded0.70
Matchup

Como attack

1.70goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.20
10.30
Match total
7.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
31.10
Match total
24.60

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
3.30
On target
4.00
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches96
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.8%14.6%-2.2 pp
Draw24.5%21.9%-2.6 pp
Away58.7%63.5%+4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS46.9%

Historical average

0.731.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.8%
1-212.5%
1-311.5%
0-210.4%
0-09.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.705.74
Average total9.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=96.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.546.9%
Over 10.530.2%
Over 11.521.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.7%6.4%–30.1% CI
Draw FT32.4%19.1%–49.2% CI
Away FT52.9%36.7%–68.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals29.4%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.5%
Away64.7%