Serie A · 2025/26
2026-03-06 · 19:45
11.5660.1%
X3.7525.0%
26.3214.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WWDWWDDWWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Torino
DDDLWWLLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
2.50
Against
4.10
7.50
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.70goals per match
Torino conceded1.80
Matchup

Torino attack

1.00goals per match
Napoli conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
2.50
Corners against
4.10
7.50
Match total
7.90
30%3/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Match total
3.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
25.90
Match total
27.60

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
5.10
On target
4.00
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches177
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.1%67.2%+7.1 pp
Draw25.0%22.0%-3.0 pp
Away14.8%10.7%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS40.7%

Historical average

1.730.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-019.2%
2-113.6%
2-012.4%
3-011.3%
0-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.633.44
Average total9.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=177.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.544.6%
Over 10.531.1%
Over 11.519.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches64
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.9%48.7%–71.9% CI
Draw FT31.3%21.2%–43.4% CI
Away FT7.8%3.4%–17.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.6%
2+ goals29.7%
3+ goals14.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.3%
Away23.4%