2. Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 14:30
11.6754.8%
X3.9323.3%
24.1921.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dresden
WLWDLWWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Holstein Kiel
LDDDLLLWWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.60
Against
5.10
9.50
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
2.10
2.90
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Dresden attack

2.00goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded2.10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.50goals per match
Dresden conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.10
9.50
Match total
9.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.60
Match total
6.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
24.00
Match total
28.00

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.50
On target
2.80
14%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches241
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.8%55.2%+0.3 pp
Draw23.3%24.1%+0.8 pp
Away21.9%20.7%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.537.8%
BTTS61.8%

Historical average

1.941.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
2-111.2%
2-09.1%
1-07.5%
3-05.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.054.32
Average total10.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=241.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.534.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%26.5%–52.0% CI
Draw FT38.5%26.5%–52.0% CI
Away FT23.1%13.7%–36.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals55.8%
3+ goals32.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.3%
Away55.8%