2. Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 14:30
13.3227.6%
X4.0422.7%
21.8449.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Darmstadt
WWWWWWWDLD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Paderborn
LWLLDWDWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
6.10
Against
3.30
11.30
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
3.30
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Darmstadt attack

2.20goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.50
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.40goals per match
Darmstadt conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
6.10
Corners against
3.30
11.30
Match total
7.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.50
Match total
5.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
22.70
Match total
25.70

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
5.50
On target
5.00
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.6%6.7%-20.9 pp
Draw22.7%46.7%+24.0 pp
Away49.8%46.7%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

0.931.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-220.0%
1-120.0%
1-213.3%
0-113.3%
0-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.405.40
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT5.9%1.0%–27.0% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT64.7%41.3%–82.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals5.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home17.6%
Away70.6%