2. Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 12:00
12.9231.7%
X3.9223.6%
22.0744.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Holstein Kiel
LWWLLDLDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Magdeburg
LWWWWLLWLL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.30
1.00
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
2.20
1.10
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.70
Against
5.20
11.00
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.30
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.40
Total goals
4.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.40goals per match
Magdeburg conceded2.00
Matchup

Magdeburg attack

2.30goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.20
11.00
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.00
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
26.60
Match total
25.20

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
15.60N=10
3.30
On target
6.20
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.7%25.8%-5.9 pp
Draw23.6%6.5%-17.2 pp
Away44.7%67.7%+23.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.596.8%
Over 2.590.3%
Over 3.561.3%
BTTS83.9%

Historical average

1.742.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-216.1%
2-112.9%
1-39.7%
2-49.7%
0-26.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.134.97
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.4%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.532.3%
Over 11.522.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away61.5%