2. Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 12:00
12.9231.7%
X3.9223.6%
22.0744.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Holstein Kiel
LWWLLDLDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Magdeburg
LWWWWLLWLL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
2.30
1.00
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
2.20
1.10
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.70
Against
5.20
11.00
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.30
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.40
Total goals
4.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.40goals per matchMagdeburg conceded2.00Matchup
Magdeburg attack
2.30goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.20
11.00
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.00
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
26.60
Match total
25.20
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
15.60N=10
3.30
On target
6.20
11%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.7%25.8%-5.9 pp
Draw23.6%6.5%-17.2 pp
Away44.7%67.7%+23.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.596.8%
Over 2.590.3%
Over 3.561.3%
BTTS83.9%
Historical average
1.74–2.55
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-216.1%
2-112.9%
1-39.7%
2-49.7%
0-26.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.13–4.97
Average total10.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.577.4%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.532.3%
Over 11.522.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.54
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.2%
Away61.5%