2. Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 12:30
12.5935.5%
X3.6125.4%
22.3539.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Greuther Furth
WLDDLWDWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Nurnberg
WLLLLDLWDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.90
Against
4.40
9.60
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Greuther Furth attack
1.60goals per matchNurnberg conceded1.60Matchup
Nurnberg attack
1.00goals per matchGreuther Furth conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.40
9.60
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.20
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
24.50
Match total
26.60
Shots
10.40N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
3.30
On target
3.00
15%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches205
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.5%37.6%+2.1 pp
Draw25.4%25.4%-0.1 pp
Away39.1%37.1%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.539.0%
BTTS61.0%
Historical average
1.56–1.60
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.7%
2-19.3%
0-17.3%
2-27.3%
2-07.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.41–5.19
Average total10.60
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=205.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.3%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.548.3%
Over 11.539.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%21.7%–47.5% CI
Draw FT27.1%16.6%–41.0% CI
Away FT39.6%27.0%–53.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.73
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.4%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals22.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.3%
Away58.3%