2. Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 12:30
12.0744.3%
X3.7424.5%
22.9531.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elversberg
DDWDLWWWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Paderborn
WLWLLDWDWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.10
Against
3.40
10.00
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Elversberg attack

1.50goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.00
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.40goals per match
Elversberg conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.10
Corners against
3.40
10.00
Match total
7.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.20
Match total
5.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

8.50N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
20.40
Match total
25.50

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
5.60
On target
5.00
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.3%42.4%-1.9 pp
Draw24.5%22.7%-1.8 pp
Away31.1%34.8%+3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.547.0%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.831.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-210.6%
2-29.1%
2-17.6%
0-27.6%
2-36.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.714.67
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.539.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

0.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away27.3%