2. Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 12:00
11.9347.5%
X3.6924.8%
23.3127.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hertha
WWLDDDLWDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Holstein Kiel
LLDDDLLLWW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
2.30
30%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.90
1.20
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.10
Against
5.00
9.80
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.20
Total goals
3.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hertha attack
1.10goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded2.30Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.50goals per matchHertha conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.00
9.80
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.20
Match total
6.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
24.60
Match total
29.50
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
5.00
On target
3.10
8%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches198
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.5%51.0%+3.5 pp
Draw24.8%24.2%-0.6 pp
Away27.7%24.7%-2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.532.8%
BTTS61.1%
Historical average
1.78–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.7%
1-011.1%
2-19.1%
2-08.1%
0-16.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.71–4.34
Average total10.05
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=198.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.533.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.6%45.8%–70.4% CI
Draw FT25.9%16.3%–38.4% CI
Away FT15.5%8.4%–26.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.72
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal93.1%
2+ goals51.7%
3+ goals19.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home79.3%
Away46.6%