2. Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-24 · 17:30
12.2141.5%
X3.4726.4%
22.8532.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Fortuna Dusseldorf
DWLWWWDWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Dresden
LWLLWDDDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.50
Against
7.20
8.10
Total
11.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Fortuna Dusseldorf attack
1.30goals per matchDresden conceded1.60Matchup
Dresden attack
1.40goals per matchFortuna Dusseldorf conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
7.20
8.10
Match total
11.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
5.00
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
23.20
Match total
19.70
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.50
On target
4.10
10%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches557
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.5%39.1%-2.3 pp
Draw26.4%28.4%+2.0 pp
Away32.1%32.5%+0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.537.0%
BTTS59.1%
Historical average
1.55–1.39
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-110.6%
1-09.2%
2-28.4%
1-28.1%
2-17.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.48–4.67
Average total10.15
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=556.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.532.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches143
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%28.3%–43.8% CI
Draw FT41.3%33.5%–49.5% CI
Away FT23.1%16.9%–30.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.4%
2+ goals39.2%
3+ goals18.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.6%
Away42.0%