2. Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-17 · 17:30
12.1243.6%
X3.5725.9%
23.0430.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Holstein Kiel
DWLWWLLDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Kaiserslautern
WDLDDLWLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.40
Against
6.70
12.00
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.20
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.10goals per matchKaiserslautern conceded1.90Matchup
Kaiserslautern attack
1.20goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.70
12.00
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.20
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
27.30
Match total
27.40
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.60
On target
3.80
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches454
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.6%43.2%-0.5 pp
Draw25.9%27.8%+1.8 pp
Away30.4%29.1%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.8%
BTTS58.8%
Historical average
1.58–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-110.4%
1-19.5%
1-09.3%
2-28.4%
0-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.65–4.71
Average total10.36
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=453.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.0%
Over 9.559.6%
Over 10.544.6%
Over 11.536.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches118
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.6%27.5%–44.6% CI
Draw FT42.4%33.8%–51.4% CI
Away FT22.0%15.5%–30.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.6%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals18.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.7%
Away39.0%