2. Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 12:30
11.8350.5%
X3.9223.6%
23.5626.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paderborn
WWLLDWWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Magdeburg
DLLWWWWLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
2.00
1.60
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.70
2.00
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.50
Against
5.40
11.90
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
2.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
3.70
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paderborn attack
2.10goals per matchMagdeburg conceded1.70Matchup
Magdeburg attack
2.00goals per matchPaderborn conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.40
11.90
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.60
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
24.80
Match total
24.70
Shots
17.70N=10
Shots
16.20N=10
6.20
On target
6.00
12%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches61
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.5%54.1%+3.6 pp
Draw23.6%23.0%-0.6 pp
Away26.0%23.0%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.545.9%
BTTS62.3%
Historical average
1.97–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.5%
2-011.5%
1-08.2%
3-16.6%
3-04.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.51–4.44
Average total10.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=61.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.577.0%
Over 9.570.5%
Over 10.555.7%
Over 11.539.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.71
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals28.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.6%
Away42.9%